How a rain-Out Ind vs Aus 3rd Test Match In Brisbane Will Affect the India’s Chance in WTC Final

In the last of the three test cricket matches between India and Australia held at the The Gabba in Brisbane a little as 13.2 overs could be played on the first day due to rain.

In the first day of the third Test match between India and Australia at The Gabba in Brisbane only 13.2 overs could be completed due to rain interruption. It was very much the case on the third day also which was bereft of much cricket as only 33 overs could actually be bowled for the day due to bad light. Australia alloted the first innings target of 405 for 7 and they could manage an addition of 40 more runs and get all out for 445.

Rain was the center of attention throughout the day in Brisbane, while India managed to reach just 51/4 before the match was halted for the sixth time officially. India is still 394 behind and needs 246 to avoid the follow-on.

As much as the opening day matched heavy showers, the forecast for the following days is likely to have seen more rain in Brisbane. In a similar manner, AccuWeather.com expects a 68% of precipitation on the fourth day and a 55% on the fifth.

This was to be the seventh wrestle of the World Test Championship (WTC) where a washout would severely hinder the prospects for both the teams of India and Australia to qualify for the final match scheduled at Lord’s next year.

In the WTC points structure a win attracts 12 points while a draw attracts 4 points WTC points system. A tie also gives each of the teams 6 points, they are equal points but not equal scores. In cricket, washouts occur either when there is no play at all in a Test match or when the match is no drawn due to bad weather.

What will be the implications in case of no result of the INDvsAUS 3rdTest?
In the case of a washed out match both the teams they are playing against viz India and Australia will get 4 points each. This would take India up to the 110 points that mark while moving Australia to 106. Still, while the points are higher than before, India’s PCT will decrease to 55.88, whereas the Australian team’s PCT will increase up to 58.89. The two sides would continue in those positions with India in third and Australia in second.

What are India’s chances?
For a chance to fight for the WTC title for the third time in a row, India has to get one draw and two victories in three games: Brisbane test included. This would raise India’s PCT to 60.53 percent, threatened only by South Africa. To date, Australia would be third with a paltry PCT of 57.02% even if they were to defeat Sri Lanka in their last two games.

A 3-2 series win for India would lift the PCT to 58.77 per cent. Even if they beat Sri Lanka 1-0 in the next game they will end the tri-nation series on the third place.

But a defeat to the extent of 2-3 will make them out of reckoning for a qualification and Australia, Sri Lanka and South Africa will automatically qualify. If India is to be on the better side of things then both the Test series South Africa is playing in Pakistan must be lost, and Australia definitely needs to lose both the test series in Sri Lanka or draw both Tests.

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